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EFL Trophy Group North - 4
Port Vale

Port Vale

WWWDL
Kick-off
19:00
Tue, 27 Oct 2026
Manchester City U21

Manchester City U21

WLLLW
Tuesday, 27 October 2026
Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent

Who wins? Three ways to read it

1 · X · 2
Our goal model
API-Football
Bookmaker
Port Vale Draw Manchester City U21
Value spotted: Manchester City U21 win at 3.80 (model 36% vs market 24%)

Most likely scores

2-2 6.8%
2-1 6.1%
3-2 5.7%
1-2 5.5%
2-3 5.1%
3-1 5.1%

Expected goals: 2.5 Port Vale · 2.25 Manchester City U21

Goal lines

Over 1.5 goals94%
Over 2.5 goals85%
Over 3.5 goals69%
Both teams score82%

Team comparison

Form Attack Defence Goal model Head to head Goals Overall
50%
Form
50%
30%
Attack
70%
75%
Defence
25%
100%
Goal model
0%
0%
Head to head
0%
0%
Goals
0%
51%
Overall
48%

Recent form

4 W 2 D 2 L in the last 8
24 Oct 2026League Two York 2 - 0 Port Vale L
20 Oct 2026League Two Gillingham 1 - 1 Port Vale D
17 Oct 2026League Two Port Vale 1 - 0 Chesterfield W
10 Oct 2026League Two Port Vale 1 - 0 Grimsby W
06 Oct 2026EFL Trophy Port Vale 2 - 0 Mansfield Town W
22 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Chesterfield 1 - 1 Port Vale D
19 Sep 2026League Two Walsall 2 - 0 Port Vale L
12 Sep 2026League Two Port Vale 1 - 0 Exeter City W
5 W 0 D 4 L in the last 9
23 Oct 2026Premier League 2 Division One Manchester City U21 4 - 3 Stoke City U21 W
19 Sep 2026Premier League 2 Division One Tottenham Hotspur U21 4 - 2 Manchester City U21 L
15 Sep 2026EFL Trophy Chesterfield 5 - 3 Manchester City U21 L
28 Aug 2026Premier League 2 Division One Nottingham Forest U21 2 - 1 Manchester City U21 L
24 Aug 2026Premier League 2 Division One Manchester City U21 4 - 0 Wolves U21 W
19 Aug 2026EFL Trophy Mansfield Town 1 - 4 Manchester City U21 W
08 May 2026Premier League 2 Division One Manchester City U21 3 - 4 Manchester United U21 L
01 May 2026Premier League 2 Division One Aston Villa U21 2 - 3 Manchester City U21 W
25 Apr 2026Premier League 2 Division One Manchester City U21 3 - 1 Arsenal U21 W

Season numbers

EFL Trophy 2026

When the goals come

1
0-15'
0
0
16-30'
3
1
31-45'
2
1
46-60'
0
0
61-75'
0
0
76-90'
2
0
0-15'
1
0
16-30'
1
0
31-45'
0
0
46-60'
1
1
61-75'
1
0
76-90'
2
Port Vale Manchester City U21

Side by side

Port Vale Manchester City U21
2 Played 2
1 Won 1
0 Drawn 0
1 Lost 1
1.5 Goals scored per game 3.5
1 Goals conceded per game 3
2 / 1 Scored per game (home / away) 0 / 3.5
1 Clean sheets 0
0 Failed to score 0
0 Longest winning run 1
2-0 Biggest win 1-4
2-1 Biggest defeat 5-3
3/5 Penalties scored 0/0

What comes next

Port Vale
Manchester City U21 (H) 27 Oct
Rochdale (H) 31 Oct
Scunthorpe (H) 07 Nov
Accrington ST (H) 14 Nov
Barnet (A) 21 Nov
Manchester City U21
Port Vale (A) 27 Oct
Ipswich Town U21 (A) 07 Nov
West Bromwich Albion U21 (H) 27 Nov
Dinamo Zagreb U21 (H) 01 Dec
Birmingham City U21 (A) 14 Dec
Bottom thirdMid tableTop third

Betting markets

Odds: Bet365
Port Vale 1.65 61% implied Our tip
Draw 4.00 25% implied
Manchester City U21 3.80 26% implied
Port Vale 1.33 75% implied Our tip
Manchester City U21 3.25 31% implied
Over 0.5 1.00 100% implied
Under 0.5 26.00 4% implied
Over 1.5 1.10 91% implied
Under 1.5 6.50 15% implied
Over 2.5 1.33 75% implied Our tip
Under 2.5 3.25 31% implied
Over 3.5 1.83 55% implied
Under 3.5 1.83 55% implied
Over 4.5 2.75 36% implied
Under 4.5 1.40 71% implied
Port Vale/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Port Vale/Manchester City U21 29.00 3% implied
Draw/Manchester City U21 10.00 10% implied
Draw/Draw 8.00 13% implied
Port Vale/Port Vale 2.50 40% implied
Draw/Port Vale 5.50 18% implied
Manchester City U21/Port Vale 17.00 6% implied
Manchester City U21/Draw 15.00 7% implied
Manchester City U21/Manchester City U21 6.50 15% implied
Yes 1.40 71% implied Our tip
No 2.75 36% implied
2:1 9.50 11% implied
1:1 9.50 11% implied
3:1 12.00 8% implied
2:2 12.00 8% implied
2:0 13.00 8% implied
1:0 15.00 7% implied
3:0 15.00 7% implied
1:2 15.00 7% implied
Port Vale/Draw 1.18 85% implied
Port Vale/Manchester City U21 1.17 85% implied
Draw/Manchester City U21 2.10 48% implied
Port Vale 2.05 49% implied Our tip
Draw 2.62 38% implied
Manchester City U21 4.00 25% implied

Odds can change. Implied probability = 100 / odds and includes the bookmaker margin. 18+ Gamble responsibly.

Top scorers

EFL Trophy
1 M. MothersilleWycombe 5goals 0assists 3apps
2 C. MillsLeeds United U21 4goals 1assists 1apps
3 E. TezgelWycombe 4goals 0assists 3apps
4 A. BristrićLeicester 3goals 0assists 2apps
5 J. ClarkLuton 3goals 0assists 2apps
6 T. KnowlesBarnet 3goals 0assists 2apps
7 A. CollinsMilton Keynes Dons 3goals 0assists 1apps
8 M. MellonStevenage 3goals 0assists 1apps
9 Harry AshfieldPeterborough 3goals 0assists 1apps
10 N. PowellBradford 3goals 0assists 2apps

Port Vale vs Manchester City U21: preview and prediction

Port Vale host Manchester City U21 in the England EFL Trophy (Group North - 4) on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 19:00 at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent.

Port Vale are in good shape, with 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 games (W-W-W-D-L). Manchester City U21 are struggling, with 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 games (W-L-L-L-W).

Our goal model expects about 2.5 goals for Port Vale and 2.25 for Manchester City U21. It gives Port Vale the edge (45% home win, 19% draw, 36% away win), 85% for over 2.5 goals and 82% for both teams to score. The most likely score is 2-2.

Verdict: our pick is Both Teams Score (GG) at odds of 1.35. We also like Home Win (1), Over 2.5.

Port Vale vs Manchester City U21 FAQs

What is the best prediction for Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?

Our top tip is Both Teams Score: GG (1.35 odds).

Who will win Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?

Port Vale are favourites: our model gives Port Vale 45%, the draw 19% and Manchester City U21 36%.

Will both teams score?

Both teams scoring has a 82% chance in our model.

How many goals are expected?

Our model expects 4.8 goals in total, with a 85% chance of over 2.5 goals.

When is Port Vale vs Manchester City U21?

Kick-off is on Tuesday, 27th October 2026 at 19:00 at Vale Park, Stoke-On-Trent.

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